Prediction performance

The record is still building. 7 predictions made, 0 decided.

Every prediction is written down before the move, with its target and its deadline locked at the moment it is made. Neither can be changed afterwards. When a prediction misses, it stays on this page.

The record

Predictions made7
Reached target0
Missed target0
Still open7
Expired without enough data0
Accuracy on decided predictionsOnly 0 predictions have been decided. We do not publish a rate below 10.

By market cap at prediction

Entry rangePredictionsReachedMissedExpired
100k-250k2000
250k+3000
30k-50k1000
50k-100k1000

How a prediction is judged

ValidatedObserved market cap reached the locked target inside the locked window.
FailedThe window closed with at least three observations and the target was not reached.
ExpiredThe window closed but there were too few observations to judge fairly. Never counted as a failure.

Model version model_v1. A prediction is built only from data recorded before it was made; the exact input is stored and the prediction can be reproduced from it. Changing the model creates a new version and never rewrites an old prediction.

Nothing on this page is financial advice, an offer, or a recommendation. It is a public record of a model's guesses and what actually happened.

Research queries →

Page generated 2026-08-31 00:37 UTC. Historical observations keep their original timestamps and are never rewritten when the page is regenerated.
Educational and journalistic use only. Nothing here is financial advice, an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Promotion amounts are the published list prices of each promotion pack; the source publishes the pack purchased, not the invoice, so amounts are shown as ranges. Data comes from public sources and may be incomplete. Maintained by Linas Kiupelis, who holds no position in any token recorded here.